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Qual 872016 Michigan State Championship
Red112
261936.6
171843.3
511442.4
Blue136
247442.2
353937.8
608638.3
66%Model gave it34%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12111380100140160112136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#72
43.30.3
41.3→41.0
Auto11.2
Teleop27.8
End4.2
red by 1.0
2474
#12
42.21.0
36.2→37.2
Auto10.7
Teleop24.8
End6.7
Second
5114
#66
42.40.3
41.8→41.5
Auto10.3
Teleop25.8
End6.3
red by 4.0
6086
#31
38.31.0
37.5→38.5
Auto11.3
Teleop23.2
End3.8
Third
2619
#40
36.60.3
33.3→33.0
Auto11.4
Teleop19.9
End5.3
blue by 1.2
3539
#69
37.81.0
37.1→38.1
Auto7.7
Teleop26.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
22%Capture oddsEarned9%Capture oddsEarned