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Red122
5136.1
205444.7
295936.0
Blue136
550547.6
504838.0
360442.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114122050150200250300350122136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#49
44.70.3
43.543.8
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End4.9
blue by 2.9
5505
#23
47.61.2
43.044.3
Auto10.1
Teleop26.9
End10.6
Second
51
#42
36.10.3
32.032.3
Auto10.6
Teleop20.2
End5.3
blue by 6.4
3604
#28
42.41.2
42.543.7
Auto10.8
Teleop19.6
End12.1
Third
2959
#96
36.00.3
36.636.9
Auto9.9
Teleop21.0
End5.1
blue by 2.1
5048
#25
38.01.2
32.033.2
Auto9.1
Teleop19.9
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
26%Capture oddsMissed16%Capture oddsEarned