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Red165
7043.7
496747.2
91041.6
Blue129
233734.9
191851.6
364150.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136142050100200250300165129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
Unranked
47.20.0
47.247.2
Auto8.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
blue by 4.3
1918
Unranked
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto13.5
Teleop27.9
End10.2
Second
70
Unranked
43.70.0
43.743.7
Auto14.0
Teleop25.2
End4.5
blue by 6.6
3641
Unranked
50.30.0
50.350.3
Auto9.6
Teleop35.9
End4.7
Third
910
Unranked
41.60.0
41.641.6
Auto18.1
Teleop18.4
End5.1
red by 6.7
2337
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto9.4
Teleop21.7
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach odds99%Breach odds
Capture
62%Capture odds90%Capture odds