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Red89
24021.1
107627.4
171848.8
Blue80
46928.5
332220.9
543625.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105720501502002503008980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
Unranked
48.80.0
48.848.8
Auto10.7
Teleop32.0
End6.1
red by 20.3
469
Unranked
28.50.0
28.528.5
Auto10.3
Teleop14.2
End4.0
Second
1076
Unranked
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto8.2
Teleop14.1
End5.1
red by 2.4
5436
Unranked
25.00.0
25.025.0
Auto6.1
Teleop14.9
End4.1
Third
240
Unranked
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto7.9
Teleop9.5
End3.7
red by 0.2
3322
Unranked
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto5.8
Teleop13.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach odds59%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds0%Capture odds