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Red124
191851.6
91041.6
283230.7
Blue90
233734.9
505044.6
569520.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1339805015020025030012490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
Unranked
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto13.5
Teleop27.9
End10.2
red by 7.0
5050
Unranked
44.60.0
44.644.6
Auto10.4
Teleop26.5
End7.6
Second
910
Unranked
41.60.0
41.641.6
Auto18.1
Teleop18.4
End5.1
red by 6.7
2337
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto9.4
Teleop21.7
End3.8
Third
2832
Unranked
30.70.0
30.730.7
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End5.8
red by 9.8
5695
Unranked
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
30%Capture odds49%Capture odds