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Red116
95532.8
108941.2
392526.7
Blue99
364150.3
107320.2
333941.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9511940608014016018020011699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.21.3
39.741.0
Auto12.8
Teleop23.5
End4.9
blue by 9.1
50.31.5
53.451.9
Auto9.6
Teleop35.9
End4.7
Second
955
#72
32.81.3
31.232.5
Auto8.3
Teleop19.4
End5.1
blue by 8.8
3339
#33
41.61.5
38.537.0
Auto13.4
Teleop23.2
End5.0
Third
3925
#55
26.71.3
25.326.7
Auto8.3
Teleop13.8
End4.5
red by 6.5
1073
#71
20.21.5
19.918.4
Auto5.7
Teleop11.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
19%Capture oddsEarned12%Capture oddsMissed