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Red78
543625.0
439530.8
364150.3
Blue82
30234.7
233734.9
332220.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11390501001502007882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
Unranked
50.30.0
50.350.3
Auto9.6
Teleop35.9
End4.7
red by 15.3
2337
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto9.4
Teleop21.7
End3.8
Second
4395
Unranked
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto8.6
Teleop15.8
End6.4
blue by 3.9
302
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.9
Teleop15.2
End10.6
Third
5436
Unranked
25.00.0
25.025.0
Auto6.1
Teleop14.9
End4.1
red by 4.2
3322
Unranked
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto5.8
Teleop13.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds84%Breach odds
Capture
32%Capture odds8%Capture odds