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Red125
171848.8
5130.6
49451.5
Blue120
3357.3
54842.9
496747.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13115550100200125120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
Unranked
51.50.0
51.551.5
Auto15.8
Teleop29.6
End6.1
blue by 5.8
33
Unranked
57.30.0
57.357.3
Auto12.0
Teleop33.3
End12.0
Second
1718
Unranked
48.80.0
48.848.8
Auto10.7
Teleop32.0
End6.1
red by 1.5
4967
Unranked
47.20.0
47.247.2
Auto8.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
Third
51
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto11.5
Teleop15.9
End3.2
blue by 12.4
548
Unranked
42.90.0
42.942.9
Auto9.6
Teleop28.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds99%Breach odds
Capture
71%Capture odds75%Capture odds