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Red265
161953.8
124161.8
13358.2
Blue215
364151.8
245159.4
21756.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218214180190200210230240250260265215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#30
61.80.9
60.661.5
Auto17.0
Teleop39.6
End5.1
red by 2.4
2451
#11
59.40.1
59.359.4
Auto17.6
Teleop33.7
End8.1
Second
133
#29
58.20.9
56.857.7
Auto14.8
Teleop32.0
End11.3
red by 2.1
217
#7
56.10.1
56.056.1
Auto14.9
Teleop31.6
End9.6
Third
53.80.9
52.753.6
Auto17.5
Teleop29.3
End7.1
red by 2.0
3641
#15
51.80.1
51.851.8
Auto10.4
Teleop36.9
End4.6