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Red280
19573.4
111461.1
22563.8
Blue230
6765.1
362057.4
525450.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255215150200300350280230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#4
73.40.8
73.274.0
Auto21.0
Teleop42.4
End10.0
red by 8.3
67
#12
65.10.1
65.064.9
Auto16.4
Teleop35.8
End12.9
Second
225
#14
63.80.8
63.764.5
Auto16.7
Teleop36.9
End10.2
red by 6.4
57.40.1
57.357.3
Auto12.0
Teleop37.6
End7.8
Third
61.10.8
60.961.7
Auto19.8
Teleop29.5
End11.8
red by 10.9
5254
#22
50.10.1
50.050.0
Auto10.3
Teleop32.0
End7.9