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Red89
543625.0
54842.9
439530.8
Blue75
152819.9
364150.3
91041.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99118501502008975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
Unranked
42.90.0
42.942.9
Auto9.6
Teleop28.3
End5.0
blue by 7.3
3641
Unranked
50.30.0
50.350.3
Auto9.6
Teleop35.9
End4.7
Second
4395
Unranked
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto8.6
Teleop15.8
End6.4
blue by 10.8
910
Unranked
41.60.0
41.641.6
Auto18.1
Teleop18.4
End5.1
Third
5436
Unranked
25.00.0
25.025.0
Auto6.1
Teleop14.9
End4.1
red by 5.2
1528
Unranked
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
11%Capture odds16%Capture odds