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Red105
569520.9
171848.8
191851.6
Blue95
505044.6
50342.0
24021.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1281085015020025010595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
Unranked
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto13.5
Teleop27.9
End10.2
red by 7.0
5050
Unranked
44.60.0
44.644.6
Auto10.4
Teleop26.5
End7.6
Second
1718
Unranked
48.80.0
48.848.8
Auto10.7
Teleop32.0
End6.1
red by 6.8
503
Unranked
42.00.0
42.042.0
Auto10.2
Teleop21.3
End10.5
Third
5695
Unranked
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.5
End4.3
blue by 0.2
240
Unranked
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto7.9
Teleop9.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds91%Breach odds
Capture
37%Capture odds48%Capture odds