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Red125
24021.1
191851.6
3357.3
Blue112
24539.5
332220.9
49451.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13811150100150200250125112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
Unranked
57.30.0
57.357.3
Auto12.0
Teleop33.3
End12.0
red by 5.8
494
Unranked
51.50.0
51.551.5
Auto15.8
Teleop29.6
End6.1
Second
1918
Unranked
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto13.5
Teleop27.9
End10.2
red by 12.1
245
Unranked
39.50.0
39.539.5
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End3.2
Third
240
Unranked
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto7.9
Teleop9.5
End3.7
red by 0.2
3322
Unranked
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto5.8
Teleop13.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds72%Breach odds
Capture
53%Capture odds23%Capture odds