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Red111
364150.3
583726.0
597628.0
Blue93
567924.5
432930.2
331044.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111108809010012013014011193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.30.3
53.253.4
Auto9.6
Teleop35.9
End4.7
red by 6.0
3310
#34
44.20.8
48.647.8
Auto14.6
Teleop23.1
End6.5
Second
5976
#53
28.00.3
27.928.1
Auto7.0
Teleop16.8
End4.2
blue by 2.2
4329
#39
30.20.8
29.929.1
Auto10.9
Teleop16.9
End2.4
Third
5837
#46
26.00.3
26.026.3
Auto8.6
Teleop13.4
End4.0
red by 1.5
5679
#67
24.50.8
26.725.9
Auto7.0
Teleop13.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsEarned9%Capture oddsMissed