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Red101
85846.3
396523.1
288339.9
Blue85
95532.8
589214.2
446944.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130855010015020010185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#17
46.31.6
49.547.9
Auto9.4
Teleop31.3
End5.6
red by 2.4
4469
#28
44.00.6
43.843.2
Auto9.4
Teleop29.9
End4.6
Second
2883
#18
39.91.6
45.143.5
Auto12.1
Teleop22.8
End4.9
red by 7.1
955
#72
32.80.6
31.831.2
Auto8.3
Teleop19.4
End5.1
Third
3965
#61
23.11.6
25.223.6
Auto6.6
Teleop12.7
End3.9
red by 8.9
5892
#73
14.20.6
13.512.9
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
16%Capture oddsMissed13%Capture oddsMissed