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Red59
433518.2
107320.2
337425.4
Blue106
464632.8
297438.5
393031.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57117020408010014016059106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3374
#43
25.40.3
25.224.9
Auto6.7
Teleop15.2
End3.5
blue by 13.1
2974
#29
38.50.9
42.041.0
Auto8.3
Teleop24.9
End5.3
Second
1073
#71
20.20.3
20.219.9
Auto5.7
Teleop11.1
End3.4
blue by 12.6
4646
#26
32.80.9
31.130.2
Auto11.9
Teleop16.2
End4.6
Third
4335
#70
18.20.3
18.518.2
Auto6.6
Teleop10.3
End1.2
blue by 13.2
3930
#23
31.30.9
32.031.1
Auto8.9
Teleop17.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed12%Capture oddsMissed