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Quarterfinal 4-12016 Curie Division
Red191
284832.0
2550.0
432930.2
Blue178
28739.5
399047.4
63939.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145168100200250191178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#3
50.00.4
49.8→50.2
Auto11.9
Teleop24.3
End13.9
red by 2.6
3990
#38
47.40.2
47.0→47.2
Auto10.5
Teleop27.0
End9.8
Second
2848
#49
32.00.4
31.7→32.1
Auto7.3
Teleop21.0
End3.7
blue by 7.8
639
#6
39.80.2
39.4→39.5
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End10.4
Third
4329
#39
30.20.4
29.9→30.4
Auto10.9
Teleop16.9
End2.4
blue by 9.3
287
#64
39.50.2
39.3→39.4
Auto10.9
Teleop24.4
End4.2