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Quarterfinal 3-22016 Curie Division
Red168
198342.2
108941.2
83634.1
Blue201
87648.4
300539.8
255745.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161163140150170180190200168201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#40
42.20.0
42.2→42.2
Auto10.8
Teleop19.8
End11.6
blue by 6.3
876
#21
48.40.3
48.0→48.3
Auto8.4
Teleop28.7
End11.4
Second
1089
#2
41.20.0
41.1→41.2
Auto12.8
Teleop23.5
End4.9
blue by 4.2
2557
#22
45.40.3
44.9→45.2
Auto9.0
Teleop25.0
End11.3
Third
836
#14
34.10.0
34.1→34.1
Auto12.1
Teleop18.2
End3.8
blue by 5.7
3005
#7
39.80.3
39.5→39.8
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.5