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Quarterfinal 3-12016 Curie Division
Red179
198342.2
108941.2
446944.0
Blue201
87648.4
300539.8
255745.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17315750100200250300179201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#28
44.00.2
43.8→44.0
Auto9.4
Teleop29.9
End4.6
blue by 4.5
876
#21
48.40.3
47.6→48.0
Auto8.4
Teleop28.7
End11.4
Second
1983
#40
42.20.2
42.0→42.2
Auto10.8
Teleop19.8
End11.6
blue by 3.2
2557
#22
45.40.3
44.6→44.9
Auto9.0
Teleop25.0
End11.3
Third
1089
#2
41.20.2
41.0→41.1
Auto12.8
Teleop23.5
End4.9
red by 1.3
3005
#7
39.80.3
39.1→39.5
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.5