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Semifinal 2-32016 Curie Division
Red189
87648.4
300539.8
255745.4
Blue130
63939.8
399047.4
166228.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163142050100200250300350189130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#21
48.40.3
47.8→48.1
Auto8.4
Teleop28.7
End11.4
red by 1.0
3990
#38
47.40.1
47.6→47.4
Auto10.5
Teleop27.0
End9.8
Second
2557
#22
45.40.3
44.8→45.0
Auto9.0
Teleop25.0
End11.3
red by 5.6
639
#6
39.80.1
39.9→39.8
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End10.4
Third
3005
#7
39.80.3
39.3→39.6
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.5
red by 11.0
1662
#63
28.90.1
29.0→28.9
Auto9.2
Teleop15.1
End4.5