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Red137
63939.8
87648.4
32134.0
Blue39
208017.8
199127.5
603415.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13553010015020013739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#21
48.40.9
47.047.9
Auto8.4
Teleop28.7
End11.4
red by 21.0
1991
#42
27.51.6
27.425.8
Auto9.1
Teleop14.5
End4.0
Second
639
#6
39.80.9
37.838.7
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End10.4
red by 22.0
2080
#69
17.81.6
19.818.2
Auto6.6
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Third
321
#30
34.00.9
34.335.1
Auto10.4
Teleop18.1
End5.5
red by 18.9
6034
#75
15.11.6
15.914.3
Auto2.4
Teleop10.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
30%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed