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Qual 1022016 Curie Division
Red95
198342.2
298030.9
365636.9
Blue118
361840.6
354644.1
593328.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151159510010511012012513095118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#40
42.21.4
41.9→40.5
Auto10.8
Teleop19.8
End11.6
blue by 1.9
3546
#1
44.10.1
44.7→44.8
Auto14.1
Teleop24.9
End5.1
Second
3656
#37
36.91.4
38.3→36.9
Auto9.7
Teleop22.1
End5.0
blue by 3.8
3618
#15
40.60.1
38.4→38.5
Auto13.8
Teleop21.9
End5.0
Third
2980
#51
30.91.4
31.3→29.9
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End4.7
red by 2.0
5933
#20
28.90.1
28.8→28.9
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
19%Capture oddsMissed64%Capture oddsEarned