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Red117
333941.6
418836.4
216844.0
Blue105
16649.6
222020.3
446944.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123119050100150200250117105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
#45
44.00.8
43.242.4
Auto14.0
Teleop23.7
End6.4
blue by 5.5
166
#10
49.61.1
50.749.6
Auto17.3
Teleop27.5
End4.8
Second
3339
#33
41.60.8
39.338.5
Auto13.4
Teleop23.2
End5.0
blue by 2.4
4469
#28
44.01.1
43.242.1
Auto9.4
Teleop29.9
End4.6
Third
4188
#59
36.40.8
36.835.9
Auto8.6
Teleop22.2
End5.6
red by 16.2
2220
#60
20.31.1
22.421.3
Auto6.7
Teleop11.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
50%Capture oddsMissed36%Capture oddsMissed