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Red81
85846.3
567924.5
594021.2
Blue110
186825.8
69439.7
406137.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions999605015020025030081110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#17
46.31.3
47.946.6
Auto9.4
Teleop31.3
End5.6
red by 6.6
694
#8
39.70.8
33.634.4
Auto9.5
Teleop25.5
End4.8
Second
5679
#67
24.51.3
25.924.5
Auto7.0
Teleop13.1
End4.4
blue by 13.1
4061
#12
37.60.8
35.035.8
Auto12.4
Teleop17.8
End7.5
Third
5940
#68
21.21.3
22.321.0
Auto7.2
Teleop11.4
End2.7
blue by 4.5
1868
#54
25.80.8
25.025.8
Auto10.9
Teleop12.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
13%Capture oddsMissed17%Capture oddsMissed