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Qual 1052016 Curie Division
Red108
393031.3
580337.5
540647.7
Blue104
126144.9
583726.0
284832.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1201056080140160180108104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5406
#5
47.70.4
46.6→46.2
Auto11.6
Teleop25.0
End11.1
red by 2.8
1261
#13
44.90.0
45.2→45.2
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End4.9
Second
5803
#4
37.50.4
36.8→36.4
Auto7.2
Teleop19.5
End10.8
red by 5.5
2848
#49
32.00.0
32.8→32.8
Auto7.3
Teleop21.0
End3.7
Third
3930
#23
31.30.4
31.1→30.6
Auto8.9
Teleop17.3
End5.2
red by 5.3
5837
#46
26.00.0
26.3→26.2
Auto8.6
Teleop13.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
41%Capture oddsEarned13%Capture oddsMissed