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Red100
418836.4
323036.4
445521.3
Blue130
297438.5
126144.9
33931.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9012320406080100140160180100130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4188
#59
36.40.5
35.936.4
Auto8.6
Teleop22.2
End5.6
blue by 8.5
1261
#13
44.90.0
45.245.2
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End4.9
Second
3230
#56
36.40.5
35.936.4
Auto10.4
Teleop20.0
End5.9
blue by 2.1
2974
#29
38.50.0
38.538.5
Auto8.3
Teleop24.9
End5.3
Third
4455
#74
21.30.5
20.821.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End2.2
blue by 10.1
339
#58
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
39%Capture oddsMissed20%Capture oddsMissed