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Qual 1172016 Curie Division
Red113
401031.4
527936.5
16649.6
Blue131
199127.5
446944.0
350639.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126105406080140160180113131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#10
49.60.7
49.6→48.9
Auto17.3
Teleop27.5
End4.8
red by 5.6
4469
#28
44.01.7
42.1→43.8
Auto9.4
Teleop29.9
End4.6
Second
5279
#19
36.50.7
37.2→36.5
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End6.0
blue by 2.7
3506
#31
39.21.7
37.5→39.2
Auto10.8
Teleop17.9
End10.5
Third
4010
#41
31.40.7
32.2→31.4
Auto9.3
Teleop17.9
End4.2
red by 3.9
1991
#42
27.51.7
25.8→27.5
Auto9.1
Teleop14.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
51%Capture oddsMissed22%Capture oddsEarned