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Red106
126144.9
589214.2
519933.6
Blue78
491029.8
433518.2
418031.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions948405015020010678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#13
44.90.1
44.044.0
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End4.9
red by 13.3
4180
#47
31.60.3
29.929.6
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End5.9
Second
5199
#50
33.60.1
33.133.2
Auto10.9
Teleop12.4
End10.3
red by 3.8
4910
#66
29.80.3
32.131.7
Auto7.3
Teleop19.8
End2.6
Third
5892
#73
14.20.1
12.812.9
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End1.3
blue by 4.0
4335
#70
18.20.4
21.120.7
Auto6.6
Teleop10.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed