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Red96
323437.4
393031.3
432930.2
Blue121
2550.0
222020.3
37947.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991195015020096121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3234
#48
37.40.2
39.739.5
Auto9.5
Teleop17.6
End10.2
blue by 12.7
25
#3
50.00.6
47.648.1
Auto11.9
Teleop24.3
End13.9
Second
3930
#23
31.30.2
30.330.1
Auto8.9
Teleop17.3
End5.2
blue by 15.6
379
#16
47.00.6
42.643.2
Auto12.2
Teleop26.1
End8.7
Third
4329
#39
30.20.2
29.028.8
Auto10.9
Teleop16.9
End2.4
red by 9.9
2220
#60
20.30.6
22.423.0
Auto6.7
Teleop11.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
13%Capture oddsEarned39%Capture oddsMissed