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Red106
85846.3
597628.0
392526.7
Blue132
314736.1
63939.8
540647.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9612050150200106132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#17
46.30.6
47.047.5
Auto9.4
Teleop31.3
End5.6
blue by 1.4
47.70.6
43.644.2
Auto11.6
Teleop25.0
End11.1
Second
5976
#53
28.00.6
25.125.6
Auto7.0
Teleop16.8
End4.2
blue by 11.7
639
#6
39.80.6
36.136.7
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End10.4
Third
3925
#55
26.70.6
25.225.8
Auto8.3
Teleop13.8
End4.5
blue by 9.5
3147
#65
36.10.6
33.834.3
Auto8.6
Teleop16.2
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsMissed33%Capture oddsEarned