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Red85
298030.9
377037.3
186825.8
Blue150
255745.4
323437.4
63939.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9412640608014016018020085150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3770
#32
37.30.8
37.436.7
Auto8.4
Teleop18.9
End10.0
blue by 8.1
2557
#22
45.41.5
41.342.8
Auto9.0
Teleop25.0
End11.3
Second
2980
#51
30.90.8
31.630.8
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End4.7
blue by 8.9
639
#6
39.81.5
36.738.2
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End10.4
Third
1868
#54
25.80.8
27.326.6
Auto10.9
Teleop12.0
End3.0
blue by 11.6
3234
#48
37.41.5
39.541.0
Auto9.5
Teleop17.6
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsMissed43%Capture oddsEarned