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Qual 562016 Curie Division
Red114
300539.8
28739.5
138928.4
Blue83
583726.0
314736.1
593328.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111882040608010012014016011483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#7
39.80.3
37.5→37.8
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.5
red by 3.7
3147
#65
36.10.4
34.3→34.0
Auto8.6
Teleop16.2
End11.4
Second
287
#64
39.50.3
39.6→39.9
Auto10.9
Teleop24.4
End4.2
red by 10.6
5933
#20
28.90.4
27.1→26.7
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End4.6
Third
1389
#35
28.40.3
27.2→27.5
Auto9.1
Teleop16.3
End3.0
red by 2.4
5837
#46
26.00.4
27.2→26.8
Auto8.6
Teleop13.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
17%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsMissed