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Qual 582016 Curie Division
Red112
83634.1
69439.7
396523.1
Blue105
188539.1
33931.4
32134.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9010750150200112105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#8
39.71.2
29.2→30.4
Auto9.5
Teleop25.5
End4.8
red by 0.6
1885
#11
39.10.2
36.3→36.6
Auto7.8
Teleop24.8
End6.5
Second
836
#14
34.11.2
35.8→37.0
Auto12.1
Teleop18.2
End3.8
red by 0.1
321
#30
34.00.2
33.4→33.7
Auto10.4
Teleop18.1
End5.5
Third
3965
#61
23.11.2
24.6→25.8
Auto6.6
Teleop12.7
End3.9
blue by 8.3
339
#58
31.40.2
31.6→31.8
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsEarned42%Capture oddsMissed