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Red105
393031.3
199127.5
2550.0
Blue114
519933.6
418836.4
594021.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11296406080120140160105114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#3
50.00.1
48.148.1
Auto11.9
Teleop24.3
End13.9
red by 13.6
4188
#59
36.40.5
39.540.0
Auto8.6
Teleop22.2
End5.6
Second
3930
#23
31.30.1
30.130.0
Auto8.9
Teleop17.3
End5.2
blue by 2.2
5199
#50
33.60.5
33.233.8
Auto10.9
Teleop12.4
End10.3
Third
1991
#42
27.50.1
28.128.0
Auto9.1
Teleop14.5
End4.0
red by 6.2
5940
#68
21.20.5
23.323.8
Auto7.2
Teleop11.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
42%Capture oddsEarned13%Capture oddsEarned