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Red94
361840.6
580337.5
198342.2
Blue70
186825.8
392526.7
396523.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13274501001502009470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#40
42.22.7
43.941.2
Auto10.8
Teleop19.8
End11.6
red by 15.5
3925
#55
26.70.7
24.123.4
Auto8.3
Teleop13.8
End4.5
Second
3618
#15
40.62.7
36.133.4
Auto13.8
Teleop21.9
End5.0
red by 14.8
1868
#54
25.80.7
27.526.8
Auto10.9
Teleop12.0
End3.0
Third
37.52.7
39.937.1
Auto7.2
Teleop19.5
End10.8
red by 14.4
3965
#61
23.10.7
29.228.4
Auto6.6
Teleop12.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
52%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed