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Red120
567924.5
217538.5
87648.4
Blue178
16649.6
188539.1
418031.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11399406080120140160180120178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#21
48.40.8
44.545.4
Auto8.4
Teleop28.7
End11.4
blue by 1.1
166
#10
49.62.6
42.044.6
Auto17.3
Teleop27.5
End4.8
Second
2175
#24
38.50.8
36.737.6
Auto12.7
Teleop21.7
End4.2
blue by 0.6
1885
#11
39.12.6
31.333.9
Auto7.8
Teleop24.8
End6.5
Third
5679
#67
24.50.8
26.327.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.1
End4.4
blue by 7.0
4180
#47
31.62.6
25.127.7
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed11%Capture oddsEarned