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Qual 82016 Curie Division
Red76
314736.1
216844.0
825.8
Blue134
393031.3
108941.2
354644.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10411440608014016018076134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
#45
44.02.1
44.9→42.8
Auto14.0
Teleop23.7
End6.4
blue by 0.1
3546
#1
44.11.3
41.8→43.1
Auto14.1
Teleop24.9
End5.1
Second
3147
#65
36.12.1
34.4→32.3
Auto8.6
Teleop16.2
End11.4
blue by 5.0
1089
#2
41.21.3
36.1→37.4
Auto12.8
Teleop23.5
End4.9
Third
8
#27
25.82.1
23.5→21.4
Auto6.8
Teleop13.7
End5.2
blue by 5.5
3930
#23
31.31.3
31.6→32.9
Auto8.9
Teleop17.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed55%Capture oddsEarned