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Red89
433518.2
95532.8
19134.7
Blue94
69439.7
284832.0
166228.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86980501502002508994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
#44
34.70.3
31.832.1
Auto10.0
Teleop19.4
End5.3
blue by 5.0
694
#8
39.70.0
25.525.5
Auto9.5
Teleop25.5
End4.8
Second
955
#72
32.80.3
33.033.3
Auto8.3
Teleop19.4
End5.1
red by 0.8
2848
#49
32.00.0
37.737.7
Auto7.3
Teleop21.0
End3.7
Third
4335
#70
18.20.4
20.420.7
Auto6.6
Teleop10.3
End1.2
blue by 10.7
1662
#63
28.90.0
30.630.6
Auto9.2
Teleop15.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed