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Red92
107320.2
527936.5
298030.9
Blue102
112323.8
69439.7
331044.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891125010015020092102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5279
#19
36.50.2
37.637.8
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End6.0
blue by 7.8
3310
#34
44.20.2
50.550.3
Auto14.6
Teleop23.1
End6.5
Second
2980
#51
30.90.2
30.831.0
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End4.7
blue by 8.8
694
#8
39.70.2
30.430.2
Auto9.5
Teleop25.5
End4.8
Third
1073
#71
20.20.2
20.520.8
Auto5.7
Teleop11.1
End3.4
blue by 3.6
1123
#62
23.80.2
24.424.2
Auto10.4
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
18%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed