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Qual 682016 Curie Division
Red102
222020.3
337425.4
399047.4
Blue138
188539.1
361840.6
314736.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97111050150200102138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3990
#38
47.40.0
47.2→47.3
Auto10.5
Teleop27.0
End9.8
red by 6.8
3618
#15
40.61.5
35.4→36.9
Auto13.8
Teleop21.9
End5.0
Second
3374
#43
25.40.0
26.5→26.5
Auto6.7
Teleop15.2
End3.5
blue by 13.7
1885
#11
39.11.5
36.6→38.1
Auto7.8
Teleop24.8
End6.5
Third
2220
#60
20.30.0
22.6→22.6
Auto6.7
Teleop11.2
End2.3
blue by 15.9
3147
#65
36.11.5
34.0→35.4
Auto8.6
Teleop16.2
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed36%Capture oddsMissed