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Red131
297438.5
284832.0
354644.1
Blue112
392526.7
28739.5
2550.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12211450100150200131112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.10.6
44.044.5
Auto14.1
Teleop24.9
End5.1
blue by 5.9
25
#3
50.00.0
49.549.4
Auto11.9
Teleop24.3
End13.9
Second
2974
#29
38.50.6
41.442.0
Auto8.3
Teleop24.9
End5.3
blue by 1.0
287
#64
39.50.0
38.038.0
Auto10.9
Teleop24.4
End4.2
Third
2848
#49
32.00.6
32.332.8
Auto7.3
Teleop21.0
End3.7
red by 5.3
3925
#55
26.70.0
24.724.7
Auto8.3
Teleop13.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
100%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
32%Capture oddsEarned62%Capture oddsMissed