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Red82
166228.9
464632.8
63939.8
Blue93
222020.3
406137.6
527936.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10998501502008293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
639
#6
39.81.5
39.337.8
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End10.4
red by 2.1
4061
#12
37.60.6
36.135.6
Auto12.4
Teleop17.8
End7.5
Second
4646
#26
32.81.5
32.631.1
Auto11.9
Teleop16.2
End4.6
blue by 3.7
5279
#19
36.50.6
37.837.2
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Third
1662
#63
28.91.5
32.330.8
Auto9.2
Teleop15.1
End4.5
red by 8.6
2220
#60
20.30.6
22.622.0
Auto6.7
Teleop11.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
17%Capture oddsMissed42%Capture oddsMissed