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Quarterfinal 3-12016 Orlando Regional
Red87
74429.7
445141.4
10818.1
Blue110
355630.6
238328.1
279724.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11710240608014016018020087110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#2
41.40.6
42.5→41.9
Auto14.0
Teleop20.4
End7.0
red by 10.8
3556
#14
30.60.1
30.5→30.6
Auto6.4
Teleop20.3
End3.9
Second
744
#4
29.70.8
31.3→30.4
Auto8.4
Teleop16.8
End4.5
red by 1.6
2383
#11
28.10.1
28.0→28.0
Auto7.3
Teleop15.5
End5.3
Third
108
#27
18.10.8
19.7→18.8
Auto7.5
Teleop8.7
End1.9
blue by 6.2
2797
#52
24.30.1
24.2→24.3
Auto7.7
Teleop12.0
End4.6