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Red115
355630.6
238328.1
279724.3
Blue111
187639.6
7934.6
136921.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021226080140160115111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3556
#14
30.60.2
30.831.0
Auto6.4
Teleop20.3
End3.9
blue by 9.0
39.60.2
39.839.6
Auto7.6
Teleop19.7
End12.3
Second
2383
#11
28.10.2
28.228.4
Auto7.3
Teleop15.5
End5.3
blue by 6.5
79
#3
34.60.3
34.934.6
Auto6.9
Teleop20.6
End7.1
Third
2797
#52
24.30.2
24.524.7
Auto7.7
Teleop12.0
End4.6
red by 2.4
1369
#35
21.90.2
22.221.9
Auto3.0
Teleop14.5
End4.3