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Red31
562811.3
555720.1
564611.1
Blue80
445141.4
459218.3
406518.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4175020601001201403180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5557
#32
20.11.6
15.914.3
Auto8.7
Teleop9.9
End1.5
blue by 21.3
41.41.0
35.236.2
Auto14.0
Teleop20.4
End7.0
Second
5628
#59
11.31.6
17.415.8
Auto2.3
Teleop7.0
End2.0
blue by 7.5
4065
#58
18.81.3
13.915.2
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End2.9
Third
5646
#41
11.11.6
12.210.6
Auto1.8
Teleop8.6
End0.7
blue by 7.2
4592
#17
18.31.3
19.220.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsMissed54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed