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Qual 162016 Orlando Regional
Red64
495316.7
541215.3
462220.6
Blue49
584220.5
301119.1
255620.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4458020801001206449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4622
#18
20.60.5
14.6→15.0
Auto3.2
Teleop14.1
End3.3
red by 0.1
5842
#29
20.51.1
19.2→18.0
Auto9.4
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Second
4953
#45
16.70.5
16.8→17.2
Auto5.7
Teleop7.8
End3.1
blue by 3.8
2556
#63
20.50.9
20.6→19.7
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End3.4
Third
5412
#46
15.30.5
13.6→14.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.2
End3.2
blue by 3.7
3011
#57
19.11.1
14.5→13.4
Auto7.9
Teleop9.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsEarned39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed