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Red15
159221.9
365325.3
94517.2
Blue39
8625.4
355630.6
561619.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57612040801001539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3653
#28
25.34.5
17.412.9
Auto5.1
Teleop15.5
End4.7
blue by 5.3
3556
#14
30.62.2
20.818.6
Auto6.4
Teleop20.3
End3.9
Second
1592
#44
21.94.5
24.019.5
Auto6.2
Teleop13.6
End2.1
blue by 3.4
86
#13
25.42.2
23.621.4
Auto4.8
Teleop16.0
End4.6
Third
945
#60
17.24.5
14.510.0
Auto5.8
Teleop7.9
End3.6
blue by 2.5
5616
#36
19.72.2
14.312.1
Auto3.2
Teleop13.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
31%Breach oddsMissed53%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed