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Red73
38632.9
411827.0
323311.1
Blue61
190222.3
136921.9
80123.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546202040801001201407361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#8
32.92.2
20.622.8
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End4.8
red by 9.6
801
#37
23.30.2
20.821.0
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End2.7
Second
4118
#19
27.02.2
21.223.4
Auto10.2
Teleop13.9
End2.8
red by 4.7
1902
#12
22.30.2
20.821.0
Auto6.5
Teleop13.3
End2.5
Third
3233
#61
11.12.2
11.613.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End0.1
blue by 10.8
1369
#35
21.90.2
17.617.7
Auto3.0
Teleop14.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed