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Qual 222016 Orlando Regional
Red69
476923.7
187221.3
527617.3
Blue42
291620.0
362719.7
562811.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485602040801006942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4769
#9Sur
23.71.2
19.2→20.4
Auto5.5
Teleop15.0
End3.1
red by 3.7
2916
#40Sur
20.01.8
16.0→14.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End5.1
Second
1872
#53
21.31.2
14.2→15.4
Auto1.9
Teleop13.8
End5.6
red by 1.6
3627
#33
19.71.8
21.1→19.3
Auto7.8
Teleop7.1
End4.9
Third
5276
#54
17.31.2
14.5→15.7
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End2.7
red by 6.0
5628
#59
11.31.8
15.8→14.0
Auto2.3
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsMissed54%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed