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Red41
255620.5
561619.7
323311.1
Blue69
129319.1
514526.8
618419.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47490102030406070804169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2556
#63
20.50.4
19.719.3
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End3.4
blue by 6.3
5145
#22
26.82.4
21.323.7
Auto10.4
Teleop11.8
End4.6
Second
5616
#36
19.70.5
12.111.6
Auto3.2
Teleop13.8
End2.7
blue by 0.2
6184
#39
19.92.4
13.916.3
Auto5.8
Teleop11.1
End3.0
Third
3233
#61
11.10.5
13.813.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End0.1
blue by 8.0
1293
#48
19.12.4
12.214.6
Auto7.2
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
28%Breach oddsMissed40%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed